The roller-coaster rookie year."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections InterviewsNew Orleans Saints SatireWho Dat HistoryCanal Street Chronicles Tutorial2018 Saints: Year in ReviewSaints 2018 Year in Review: Tre’Quan SmithNew Womens Jermon Bushrod 2019 Jersey ,6commentsThe roller-coaster rookie year.CST@DonKellumShareTweetShareShareSaints 2018 Year in Review: Tre’Quan SmithChuck Cook-USA TODAY SportsTre’Quan Smith’s first season in the NFL went as well as one would suspect of a rookie wide receiver, but then again, Saints fans have been spoiled with rookie receivers who came ready to play at an NFL level. Marques Colston, Brandin Cooks, and most recently the un-guardable Michael Thomas all excelled in their inaugural season putting up impressive numbers. However, most wide receivers don’t come out of the gate as hot as the names mentioned above, and instead have seasons that look similar to Smith’s:Approximate Value: 5Pro Football Focus Rank: 67th out of 117Overall Grade: 67.9Total Offensive Snaps: 567Starting off the season slow with only one reception through the first four games, he broke out in week 5 against the Washington Redskins, hauling in three receptions – two of them being touchdowns— for 111 yards. His first touchdown in the game will go down in NFL history forever, as it was on the pass that put Drew Brees at number one all-time on the passing yards list.Through the next three weeks Smith would have a modest 5 receptions for 85 yards, but wouldn’t be targeted in the shellacking of the Cincinnati Bengals in week 10. He was saving up for his best performance of the year the following week.Against the depleted secondary of the Philadelphia Eagles, Smith reeled in ten passes on thirteen targets for a total of 157 yards. He was able to show the traits one looks for in an NFL receiver. His routes were ran crisply and on time Cheap Jermon Bushrod Youth Jersey , and he looked to be filling the role Ted Ginn Jr. had in the offense before he went down with an injury.But in the following weeks, the inconsistency returned. In the Saints’ second loss of the season against the Dallas Cowboys, Smith dropped a pass on a slant route that could have gone for a touchdown and possibly changed the outcome of the game. The next week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers he also dropped a pass that could have gone for a big gain, although this week the drop had less of an impact on the outcome. Missing only one game, Smith had a modest 28 receptions on 44 targets, 5 touchdown receptions, and 427 yards on the season. While he showed positive signs during the season, his inconsistency could make wide receiver a priority in the off-season for the Saints. Luckily, this year’s draft class is loaded with wide receiver talent that the team may choose to tap into. Should the 3rd Round Pick traded to the Jets factor into the Saints’ decision on Bridgewater?"WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections InterviewsNew Orleans Saints SatireWho Dat HistoryCanal Street Chronicles TutorialTeddy Bridgewater and the Sunk Cost FallacyNew,10commentsShould the 3rd Round Pick traded to the Jets factor into the Saints’ decision on Bridgewater?CSTBen_SaintsCSC ShareTweetShareShareTeddy Bridgewater and the Sunk Cost FallacyChuck Cook-USA TODAY SportsA brief note prior to the article: this is not an article that focuses on an opinion of whether or not the Saints should re-sign Teddy Bridgewater. Rather, the focus of the article is on finding the correct process to form our opinions on the subject.When making decisions during the NFL offseason, it’s important for decision-makers to think rationally. That sounds simple enough New Orleans Saints Erik McCoy Jersey , doesn’t it? Coaches, General Managers, and their staff are paid an incredible amount of money to make the best decisions possible for the future of their franchises. The least they can do is find rational reasons to justify their decisions. By calling ourselves fans, we inherently admit that we are, at least to some extent, biased when forming opinions. After all, “fan” is short for “fanatic”. Even so, most fans like to think of themselves as rational with well-formed opinions on their team’s offseason plans.If you read any Saints offseason preview, one of the first two talking points will be about the Teddy Bridgewater situation. The Saints traded a 3rd Round pick for Bridgewater in August of 2018, and Bridgewater will become a free agent once the league year ends on at 11:59 pm on March 13th. These articles usually feature much nuance regarding Bridgewater’s situation: Drew Brees will be returning for (at least) one more shot at a Super Bowl so the Saints would be paying Bridgewater to be a backup for now. Additionally, should Bridgewater walk, the Saints could be in line for a compensation pick depending on the team’s other free agent signings. Most of these articles will give opinions and predictions on what should and will happen. However Womens Erik McCoy 2019 Jersey , almost every Saints fan and writer has fallen victim to thinking at least somewhat irrationally regarding how they believe the Saints should proceed, using the Sunk Cost Fallacy to form their opinion.In Economics, a Sunk Cost is a cost that has already been incurred and cannot be recovered. For example, imagine you’ve purchased a non-refundable ticket to a crawfish cook-off with live music. Once you arrive at the cook-off, the money you spent on the ticket would be considered a “Sunk Cost.” The ticket is non-refundable, and the purchase is complete. Thus, that money spent should theoretically not affect any future decisions made. However, humans aren’t always rational. If the crawfish being served is in tiny proportions with long lines and isn’t tasty, and if the live music is less than entertaining, the rational choice would likely be to leave and do something more enjoyable. But that isn’t the only factor most people use when making that decision. A person who spent $50 on a ticket would, in actuality, be far more likely to stick it out than someone who paid $5 because people irrationally think “if I leave New Orleans Saints Erik McCoy Jersey , I would’ve spent $__ for nothing.” Instead of focusing on what’s best for them now, the person feels the need to justify the amount of money paid: the more paid, the more of a need to justify. In reality, that money is gone, and the decision to stay or go should be based off of whatever will bring the most value to a person at the current moment. People make decisions with this logic constantly: sitting through a bad movie because you bought a ticket, doubling down on losses when gambling, eating extra at a buffet to “get your money’s worth”, buying something from a store because “you drove all the way out there so you might as well get something”, etc.With regards to Teddy Bridgewater, the third round pick the Saints traded to the Jets is a sunk cost: nothing the Saints do from this moment forward will change the fact that the third round pick is gone. That doesn’t stop many fans and national writers from using that sunk cost as a key point in this offseason for the Saints. I guarantee that if you’re reading this article, you have heard numerous people use an argument along the lines of “If the Saints don’t re-sign Bridgewater, they will have traded a 3rd Round Pick for nothing” or “If the Saints don’t re-sign Bridgewater Cheap Erik McCoy Youth Jersey , they need to make sure they receive a compensation pick; otherwise, that trade will have been a disaster.” And too many people, you can see the logic behind the claim: the optics of the trade can look pretty bad if the Saints let him walk, especially if the team doesn’t receive a compensation pick. But it’s also important to realize that that’s all it really is: optics. Whether or not the trade is viewed as good or bad in a couple of months won’t affect the Saints heading into next season and beyond. Something that would affect the team beyond this is making a bad decision for the purpose of justifying a trade that happened months ago. The interesting dynamic with the Teddy Bridgewater situation is that you can make a legitimate and rational argument for re-signing him or letting him walk without using the Sunk Cost Fallacy. If the team believes Bridgewater can be the future QB beyond Brees, it could certainly be worth overpaying a backup QB for a year or two to guarantee having him on the team beyond. If the Saints instead believe the price isn’t worth paying a backup when they have Super Bowl aspirations next season, the team could find more value in the cap space leftover and a potential compensation pick. The worst thing the Saints could do heading into the offseason is pigeon-hole themselves into a specific path with little-to-no flexibility because they feel the need to justify the price paid for Bridgewater last August. Even should Bridgewater sign elsewhere, limiting yourselves to a path where the team can receive a compensation pick so that they have something to show for the trade would be unwise. While that could very well be the best path in the end, limiting your options for an irrational reason will never be a wise process.Altogether, the Saints’ final decision on Teddy Bridgewater could potentially decide the course of this franchise’s life after Brees. In doing so, the team and we as fans must recognize its importance and come to the decision (or opinions for fans) rationally.
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